How the US pushed Pakistan into the arms of China and Russia

Published: December 19, 2018
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Pakistan, much like the rest of the world, is becoming increasingly adept at ignoring Trump administration’s demands and getting on with business as usual.

The US has always had a curious but quietly spoken relationship with Pakistan. At one point, Pakistan was the third largest recipient of US foreign assistance, receiving over $3.5 billion from the US in 2011 alone. While this aid has been steadily decreasing since the aforementioned peak in 2011, US-Pakistan relations took a sharp turn for the worse at the beginning of this year when US President Donald Trump decided to herald in the new year by launching a Twitter tirade against Pakistan.

The US then immediately threatened to withhold aid to Pakistan, which at first was a cool $255 million and later grew to a whopping $900 million before culminating into a total of $3 billion in security assistance getting suspended, according to a recent report.

However, despite Washington scapegoating Pakistan for its failures in Afghanistan and trying to justify its attempt to squander some of the money it typically wastes on its empire building, it actually transpired that a significant chunk of the money the US has withheld from Pakistan is not aid; it is money the US actually owes Pakistan.

That’s right. In December 2017, Trump himself signed into law a $700 billion defence bill that included up to $700 million to reimburse Pakistan for supporting the US-led war in Afghanistan.

It is thus not surprising that according to the Wall Street Journal, Trump’s tweets completely enraged his Pakistani counterparts. Pakistan’s former foreign minister Khawaja Asif said the US had failed to behave as an ally and that Pakistan no longer viewed it as one.

Throughout the year, the cuts to Pakistan and the insults on Trump’s Twitter timeline continued. In response to some of Trump’s attacks, Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan hit back with the underlying sentiment of ungratefulness that is stinging Pakistan’s sacrifices in America’s war on terror.

Never one to give up once it decides a world player is not playing by the rules of American imperialism, US ambassador to the United Nations (UN) Nikki Haley recently stated that Pakistan harbours terrorists that turn around and kill American soldiers, which is why the US should not give Pakistan even a single dollar until it addresses the issue.

And this is where we come to the crux of the issue. Does the US really have a problem with Pakistan because it “harbours” terrorists or because it doesn’t allegedly pull its weight in the war on terror?

The available evidence shows the US has enabled the strengthening of al Qaeda in Syria, YemenLibya and Iraq (where it would never have existed without first toppling Saddam Hussein and then completely disbanding the Iraqi police and military). The US had a major hand in the creation of al Qaeda from the outset, where it actually used Pakistan at the time as a means of transiting weapons to extremists who were fighting against the Soviet Union. Even under the administration of George W Bush, US aid at the time was going to anti-Iranian extremist groups based in Pakistan.

It seems as though the US has been using Pakistan as an entity in which it can sponsor and harbour terrorists, not the other way around.

No, the real issue is that Pakistan is no longer following the rulebook and has begun to assess the various options available to it with regard to the forging of new alliances. It has also taken various measures that will not only infuriate the US, but also put its status as the world’s economic superpower completely at risk.

In the wake of Trump’s strong animosity towards Pakistan, Islamabad took measures of its own to counteract Washington’s show of strength and announced it was considering a proposal to replace the US dollar with the Chinese yuan for bilateral trade between Pakistan and China. Following Trump’s tweets, the replacement of the dollar with the Chinese yuan was almost instant.

Additionally, Imran recently visited China in an attempt to obtain an economic package in order to overcome the current crisis his country’s economy has been grappling with. The end result was that Pakistan walked away with a number of bailout packages from China in the form of investments. According to Finance Minister Asad Umar, of Pakistan’s $12 billion financing gap, at least half of it has come from China. China’s ties with Pakistan have hence been growing in the face of deteriorating ties with the US, with China having pledged to invest $62 billion in Pakistani infrastructure as part of its so-called Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).

As of right now, China has one foreign military base (in Djibouti, Africa). In the middle of last year, it was widely reported that China was considering establishing its own naval bases in Pakistan. Earlier this year, similar reports resurfaced again, though Pakistan and China have vehemently denied that any such naval base will be built.

Not too long ago, the Express Tribune reported that Pakistan and China had begun a joint international air drill. Furthermore, Pakistan and Russia also held joint naval drills in the North Arabian Sea, and the two countries also agreed to upgrade bilateral ties to the “level of strategic partnership”. Russia has also recently sold attack helicopters to Pakistan and signed a military cooperation pact to train Pakistani officers. The pact includes counterterrorism training as well; something the US has decided it will no longer gift Pakistan as part of its overall punishment.

Washington’s pushing of Pakistan towards America’s traditional rivals goes far beyond that of Russia and China (who are, let’s face it, the real thorns in the side of US foreign policy). Pakistan now has a closer relationship with North Korea, while Iranian and Pakistani defence ministers have held talks on Washington’s role in the region, having begun expanding their relationship in the era of Trump.

The Asia Times also reported that Iran, China, and Pakistan are set to launch a “trilateral nexus” that would support economic development for as many as three billion people. Turkey, a North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) ally gone rogue, is also forging closer ties with Islamabad; as is Qatar, a country recently demonised by the US-backed Saudi coalition of bullies.

Clearly, Washington’s issues with Pakistan have little to do with terrorism, and its actions are more in line with its overt attempts to unilaterally force other countries into submission. Unsurprisingly, Pakistan, much like the rest of the world, is becoming increasingly adept at ignoring the Trump administration’s demands and getting on with business as usual. And at the end of the day, perhaps Pakistan is of more value to the US than the US is to Pakistan, as evidenced by Trump’s latest U-turn in which he sent an open letter to Pakistan asking for help with the Afghan peace process.

And let us not forget that Pakistan is the only Muslim-majority nation with a nuclear weapons supply. The idea that the US should be playing a game of high-stakes chicken with this nation is laughable at best, and catastrophic at worst.

Darius Shahtahmasebi

Darius Shahtahmasebi

The author has completed a Double Degree in Law and Japanese from the University of Otago, with an interest in human rights, international law and journalism. He's a fully qualified lawyer in two separate jurisdictions, and writes about foreign policy for Anti-Media. He tweets at @TVsLeaking ‏(twitter.com/TVsLeaking)

The views expressed by the writer and the reader comments do not necessarily reflect the views and policies of The Express Tribune.

  • Striver

    Now this is the sort pf assessment that our journalists should have published a long time ago; but we’ve given up on our journalists ever writing anything favouring or positive on Pakistan. I think its probably due to some sort of inferiority complex that they don’t have faith in their own opinions unless they are in line with those view held by the west.
    Therefore a BIG THANK YOU Darius for bringing this out clearly for us to understand that we, the general public, were thinking on the right lines all along.Recommend

  • KhanG

    The author seems to have a valid point. The article is also well balanced and thoughtful and indicates a skillful writer. Excellent writing with good background study and research.Recommend

  • Feroz

    Pakistan is not going to get anything from China and Russia gratis. They are likely to exploit Pakistan in ways it can neither see or understand. Why Pakistani migrants want to go to the US and not Russia or China ? Why ?Recommend

  • Parvez

    Interesting read ….. it’s not always one gets to read a well reasoned and different view point.Recommend

  • numbersnumbers

    Hmm, Darius should write about how Pakistani support of Afghan Taliban was good for Pakistani American relations!Recommend

  • gp65

    “Pakistan now has a closer relationship with North Korea, while Iranian and Pakistani defence ministers have held talks on Washington’s role in the region, having begun expanding their relationship in the era of Trump.”
    Is this something new? Dr. Khan smuggled nuclear blueprints to North orea and Iran during the Musharraf regime. Also do check which country does Iran have a bigger trade with – India or Pakistan? If Pakistan thinks that Russia will support Pakistan vis-à-vis India it is being extremely unrealistic. Do check how many times Putin has visited India in last 7 years and how many times he has visited Pakistan.
    In any case, the sum total of Pakistan’s exports to China, Iran and Russia is less than half of exports to USA. The sum total of remittances from China, IRan and Russia is one tenth that of remittances from USA.
    US also has in the past allowed Pakistan to get an IMF loan on soft terms. Pakistan, Russia and China are unable to do that.Recommend

  • Patwari

    Would YOU not want to go to US too? Why berate migrants!
    One main reason, among many, is :- Language. English is spoken in the US.
    It is the Lingua Franca of the US, last time they checked.
    [so the British Raj’s English, came in handy here]
    Compared to say, trying to learn Chinese or Russian!! Plus they are repressive
    regimes.
    Who would want to live under 24 hour scrutiny? YOU?Recommend

  • Patwari

    Do understand, Iran is a Shia country. Pakistan is a Sunni country, more aligned with Sunni Saudia, with millions of it’s citizens working there and in Saudi proxy, Emirates.
    So, Pakland’s leanings towards Saudia, will not change, anytime soon.
    So, does that tells you anything!?! Besides, Modi Sarkar, also known as BOG, [Butcher
    of Gujrat] has invested $ billions $ in Iranian port of Chabahar, which obligates Iran to
    to Hindustan in a financial way. [at last reports, all those billions invested by Modi Sarkar have gone down the drain, mainly because of new Trump sanctions against Iran, by US and it’s allies, are in effect. See, very bad gamble by BOG, oops! Modi Sarkar.
    [US allies do not want to go against the US, specially against tantrum throwing Big Yellow, they never know how he may lash out against them, or what he may do]
    Russia sells a lot of military hardware to Hinduland. The autocrat Putin may well have
    a dacha in New Dilli. After all, he does a lot of trips to Bharat. Leasing used, 40 years old
    first generation nuclear submarines, frigates, coal fired naval destroyers [outrun by Pakistani fishing boats] screws, bolts, nuts, nails, dried herring fish and whatnot.
    See, Pakland ‘s relationship with Russia is just starting. It is not 60 year old like Hinduland’s, going back to the 50’s.
    Pakistan is not a big exporter. Never has been. Due to bad decisions, bad management
    and industrial grade corruption, [just like Rafale jets scandal of BOG]
    Most of the Pakistani remittances are from the Gulf and Saudia, not US or UK, unlike Bharat’s, which has a population of 3 million Hindustanis living in the US,… alone!!
    Which is more than the entire populations of US states of Wyoming and Montana put together!! Now that, is a lot of Hindustanis. Strong Hindustani lobby in the US.Recommend

  • Rajiv

    Sulking won’t help.

    Modiji will win 2019 elections.Recommend