What Pakistan can learn from the Iran nuclear deal

Published: July 17, 2015

For President Obama this accord is the greatest victory of his foreign policy. Iranian President Rouhani smiling victoriously called the document historic. PHOTO:REUTERS

After 13 years of struggling and negotiating, a deal has finally been concluded between Iran and the West that rightfully is called ‘historical’.

The main bone of contention has been the Western fear that Iran might be developing nuclear weapons, which could destroy Israel and change the balance of power in the Middle East. Though the newly concluded long-term agreement is supposed to prevent this, Israel and Saudi Arabia, a newly found friend of Israel, have been first to condemn this agreement before the ink on agreement was dry.

Despite the fact that Iran always insisted that it was developing nuclear facilities for peaceful energy production only and never aimed at the production of nuclear weapons, the West, for its own reasons, preferred not to believe this and suspected the contrary though – like in the case of Iraqi weapons of mass destruction, where it did not have any plausible proof. A year of harsh sanctions against Iran and diplomatic isolation have made life for the Iranian people difficult and has put pressure on the new, less hard-line government to ease the life of Iranians.

Thus the main points of the agreement are the following:

– Iran has to dispose 95 per cent of its enriched uranium and to destroy or sell two thirds of its centrifuges. In addition, nuclear research will have to be not only restricted but open for International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspection.

– The Iranian nuclear program will last for 25 years, and will be re-allowed to produce nuclear energy for peaceful usage. In exchange, western sanctions will be withdrawn, the financial and economic ones in the first place.

– First measures are expected to be taken from early 2016 and in case Iran does not act according to its contractual obligations, sanctions would be re-imposed.

– Iran allows complete control of its nuclear installations by international control organisations.

Despite these tough conditions, Iranian President Rouhani was seen smiling victoriously calling the document historic. Iranian people interviewed by media were hopeful for better living conditions in Iran in the future.

Since 1979, the year of the Iranian revolution assets worth billions of dollars are frozen in international banks that will now become available for economic development in Iran. For outgoing President Obama, this accord is the greatest victory of his foreign policy which he wants to set the otherwise less successful performance of his tenure right.

However, for him, the odds are much less positive so far. He will have to sell this accord to the Congress, and strong criticism can already be heard not only from the Republicans but from within his own party as well. Even Hilary Clinton has not voiced any enthusiasm, though as the possible future president, she might have to oversee its implementation, but at this point in time, she wants to have safe sailing and not antagonise the Jew lobby in her forthcoming elections.

Republican critics doubt that the accord is really limiting Iran’s nuclear capability and vow to boycott it in Congress. Reports coming from senate are also not in favour, and only time will tell whether President Obama will stick to his promise to veto in case the agreement is not approved by both the houses in the US.

The outcome of this tussle is still open and might be a nightmare for Obama.

The loudest protest is coming from Israel. Benjamin Netanyahu has severely criticised the deal and doubted that it will prevent Iran from building a nuclear bomb. He and the pro-Israeli lobby in the US will do everything possible to influence Congress members for voting against the deal. Severe critique is coming from Saudi Arabia and the Gulf emirates as well. They fear that with the deal in their hands, Iran will be strengthened economically and politically so much so that it will dominate the power relations in the region.

The reaction in Europe and Germany is more positive as they have learnt a lesson from the last two wars. Since the EU economy has been suffering from its own sanctions imposed on Russia, they hope relief from economic plunge by new opportunities of trade with Iran will open new vistas for peace and progress. All in all, the hurdles that have still to be overcome are formidable but given the positive impact of a crisis averted and a conflict solved, there is a good chance that all will go well and Iran can be a worthy member of the international community again and play its role in the changing global power relations.

With Iran being an esteemed neighbour of Pakistan, this will definitely improve the neighbourly relations. For instance, the Iran-Pakistan gas pipeline could go ahead and many other projects could be started or expedited.

However, there should be another lesson for Pakistan as well. Learning from the sacrifice that Iran made in order to improve the life of its population and to enhance its economic and political strength, it could encourage Pakistan to rethink the options for solving the Kashmir conflict in line with the commitment given through UN Resolutions to the people of Kashmir on both sides of the Line of Control (LoC).

Change in stance afterwards by erstwhile Indian leaders on Kashmir settlement, according to UN Resolutions, is the bone of contention that is strangling peace in the subcontinent and a solution of which could promote our membership in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation(SCO), more beneficially for both India and Pakistan. That doesn’t mean to give up Kashmir but to move a stand on a conflict that has been there since the foundation of our country, has cost us several wars and countless lives of our soldiers while the conscience of the world is in deep slumber on this.

Pakistan has so far been unfair in tackling this issue due to the political expediency of our rulers. Take for example our nuclear issue; our rulers failed to take a stand against Israeli propaganda against the Pakistani nuclear program. The idea was sponsored after the Second Islamic Summit in 1974.

Pakistan has to learn the first and basic lesson to stand on its own two feet instead of looking for requirements of foreign donors and their assistance. It is a known fact that nobody is your permanent friend in today’s world; every country keeps its national interest closer to its heart than other countries’ interest.

Ali Ashraf Khan

Ali Ashraf Khan

The author has been a Central Information Secretary of PML (Malik Qasim & Khwaja Khairuddin), remained associated in MRD formation and then as Member Central Coordination Committee of PDA. He is an ex-member of FACC during PPP's regime. He takes active part in trade body politics as a member EC of FPCCI 2014 and belongs to a refugee family from Kargil and Ladakh.

The views expressed by the writer and the reader comments do not necessarily reflect the views and policies of The Express Tribune.

  • coolboy

    writer is living in a deluded paradise where the rest of word is dreaming of a day without Pakistan he is saying that we should not worry about the developments in our neighborhood or future partnership emerging among our enemies.Recommend

  • rationalist

    The author’s comments on UN resolutions exposes his ignorance of actual facts. It would have been wise for him to do some research and read the actual UN resolutions.

    First, the UN resolutions were under the non-binding and unenforceable chapter six. More significantly, the resolutions were based on the condition that Pakistan withdraw all its forces from Kashmir as it existed in 1947. Pakistan violated this precondition, thus rendering the resolutions voided. In any event, the UN resolutions were later superseded by the Simla agreement

    Another reality is that the UN resolution gives the Kashmiris only two options- Pakistan or India. But, most Kashmiri Muslims who might have been pro-pakistan in the past, want independence and not accession to Pakistan.

    Of course, Pakistan can bankrupt itself by isolating itself like Iran, as the author advocates, but Pakistan is not Iran, never has been. Iran has always been a financially strong country standing on its own legs while Pakistan has been an international beggar that promotes global terrorism.Recommend

  • bruce lee

    We made nukes for Kashmir otherwise why have we even bothered Recommend

  • unbelievable

    Pakistan is much more pragmatic than Iran – when the USA applies pressure to Pakistan it knows that eventually it will be forced into submission so why not negotiate early on.Recommend

  • Parvez

    I doubt Pakistan will learn from this….simply because our leaders think with their pockets and not their heads.
    On the Iran nuclear deal……Iran ten years ago, as it does today, claimed it’s nuclear program was for peaceful purposes. So it has not changed its principled stand and has given up nothing. It will tone down its anti American rhetoric ( mainly staged ) and get much in return…….lifting of sanctions, trade, money etc. The deal signals a clear shift in American policy, how this plays out for them has yet to be seen.Recommend

  • Custard_Pie_In_Your_Face

    There’s nothing new about the Saudi/Israeli nexus. They’ve been working together against Iran for decades.Recommend

  • Anon

    How much does Kashmir cost Pakistan that you are comparing it to Iranian sanctions and isolation from the west? I am fed up with the rethoric (without any due dilligence) that Kashmir issue is holding us back. No it is not corruption, lack of law and order and poor governance is. First let us correct these and then we can worry about trade with IndiaRecommend

  • Akbar Mohamadzai

    On its own, Pakistan can do nothing.
    Without bread crumbs thrown at it from the likes of China, KSA, & the US, Pakistan will stay in deep, deep, problems.
    Also, Pakistan’s arrogant and fllthily corrupt military leaders need first to pull their heads out.Recommend

  • Prashant

    Pakistan is in the business of teaching lessons since its inception and not learning them.Recommend

  • Junaid Yousaf Lodhi

    What I as a pakistani National can learn from the sealed deal is, an expected lowered price of oil for long term which makes me happy :)